Yankees at Mets — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Sunday, May 17, 2026
Yankees
45-27
FINAL
6–7
Mets
33-39
FINAL · BOT 10TH
NYY
6✓NYM
7LAST PITTim Hill10P
LAST BATCarson BengeL
FINAL PLAY · Carson Benge reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by left fielder Max Schuemann. Marcus Semien scores. Luis Torrens to 2nd.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
NYY
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
NYM
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $7,733,705 combined volume · UPDATED 32D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 33D AGO
The Yankees' offensive edge at 5.7 runs per game against the Mets' 4.0 is largely offset by Peralta's 3.10 ERA advantage over Rodriguez's 5.19 on the mound. With the market pricing this as a coin flip, the model's slight 52% lean toward New York isn't enough to create meaningful value at these odds.
RESULT: LOSS·NYY 6-7 NYM
VENUE
Citi Field
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
87°F · Clear
SW 7mph
WATCH
SNY · YES
STARTERS
Elmer Rodríguez (R)
NYY · 3 GS · small sample
ERA
4.15
WHIP
1.85
K/9
4.15
BB/9
6.23
IP
13.0
Freddy Peralta (R)
NYM · 15 GS
ERA
3.90
WHIP
1.30
K/9
8.78
BB/9
3.58
IP
83.0
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
NYY · 4-1 L5
L 5-8
@TOR · 6/12
W 3-1
@TOR · 6/13
W 8-3
@TOR · 6/14
W 12-2
vsCWS · 6/16
W 10-5
vsCWS · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
NYM · 2-3 L5
L 1-3
vsATL · 6/13
W 8-1
vsATL · 6/14
L 0-12
@CIN · 6/15
L 3-5
@CIN · 6/16
W 9-1
@CIN · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Clarke Schmidt
Right forearm tightness
60-DAY · 94D
SS
Anthony Volpe
Left shoulder surgery recovery
10-DAY · 56D
P
Gerrit Cole
Tommy John surgery recovery
15-DAY · 53D
P
Angel Chivilli
Right shoulder discomfort
15-DAY · 24D
DH
Giancarlo Stanton
Right calf strain
10-DAY · 22D
LF
Jasson Domínguez
Left shoulder AC joint sprain
10-DAY · 9D
SS
José Caballero
Right middle finger fracture
10-DAY · 5D
P
Max Fried
Left elbow bone bruise
15-DAY · 3D
P
Reed Garrett
Details pending
60-DAY · 96D
P
Tylor Megill
Right elbow sprain
60-DAY · 94D
P
Dedniel Núñez
Tommy John surgery recovery
60-DAY · 91D
P
Justin Hagenman
Rib Fracture
60-DAY · 64D
P
A.J. Minter
Minter on the 15-day injured list retroactive to March 22, 2026. Left lat surgery
15-DAY · 56D
1B
Jared Young
Left meniscus tear
10-DAY · 34D
1B
Jorge Polanco
Right wrist contusion
10-DAY · 32D
SS
Francisco Lindor
Left calf strain
10-DAY · 24D
P
Kodai Senga
Lumbar spine inflammation
15-DAY · 20D
CF
Luis Robert Jr.
on the 10-day injured list retroactive to April 27, 2026. Lumbar spine disc herniation
10-DAY · 20D
SS
Ronny Mauricio
Left thumb fracture
10-DAY · 14D
C
Francisco Alvarez
Right meniscus tear
10-DAY · 4D
P
Clay Holmes
Right fibula fracture
15-DAY · 1D
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Must be 21+. Market prices sourced from prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi), not traditional sportsbooks.