Reds at Guardians — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Sunday, May 17, 2026
Reds
35-36
FINAL
3–10
Guardians
39-35
FINAL · TOP 9TH
CIN
3✓CLE
10LAST PITCodi Heuer27P
LAST BATElly De La CruzL
FINAL PLAY · Elly De La Cruz flies out to left fielder Steven Kwan.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
CIN
0¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
CLE
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $1,422,571 combined volume · UPDATED 32D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 33D AGO
The model sees Cincinnati at 43.3% against the market's 40.0%, creating a small edge on paper. However, Cleveland's superior run differential and Gavin Williams' 3.74 ERA advantage over Brady Singer's 5.79 make this too close to call with conviction. Standing down on what projects as a coin flip.
RESULT: LOSS·CIN 3-10 CLE
VENUE
Progressive Field
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
81°F · Mainly Clear
S 10mph
WATCH
Guardians.TV · Reds.TV
STARTERS
Brady Singer (R)
CIN · 14 GS
ERA
5.32
WHIP
1.61
K/9
7.09
BB/9
3.14
IP
66.0
Gavin Williams (R)
CLE · 15 GS
ERA
3.83
WHIP
1.13
K/9
10.11
BB/9
2.95
IP
91.7
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CIN · 3-2 L5
W 2-1
vsARI · 6/13
L 3-5
vsARI · 6/14
W 12-0
vsNYM · 6/15
W 5-3
vsNYM · 6/16
L 1-9
vsNYM · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
CLE · 2-3 L5
L 4-8
vsNYY · 6/10
W 3-2
vsDET · 6/12
W 3-1
vsDET · 6/13
L 1-2
@MIL · 6/16
L 4-9
@MIL · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Caleb Ferguson
Oblique muscle strain
15-DAY · 56D
P
Hunter Greene
Right elbow surgery
60-DAY · 55D
3B
Eugenio Suárez
Mild left oblique strain
10-DAY · 24D
P
Emilio Pagán
Left hamstring strain
15-DAY · 11D
P
Brandon Williamson
Left shoulder fatigue
15-DAY · 11D
P
Rhett Lowder
Right shoulder pain
15-DAY · 4D
C
Jose Trevino
Left hamstring injury
10-DAY · 0D
SS
Gabriel Arias
Left hamdsring strain
10-DAY · 40D
P
Shawn Armstrong
Right groin strain
15-DAY · 24D
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