Reds at Cubs — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Monday, May 4, 2026
Reds
32-33
FINAL
4–5
Cubs
33-33
FINAL · BOT 9TH
CIN
4✓CHC
5LAST PITEmilio Pagán16P
LAST BATMichael ConfortoL
FINAL PLAY · Michael Conforto homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
CIN
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
CHC
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $4,378,653 combined volume · UPDATED 37D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 37D AGO
Standing down on this matchup until Cincinnati announces their starter. The Cubs counter with Edward Cabrera and his 3.06 ERA, but without knowing the Reds' probable pitcher, the model can't properly evaluate this spot.
RESULT: LOSS·CIN 4-5 CHC
VENUE
Wrigley Field
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
77°F · Partly Cloudy
SW 16mph · 10% precip
WATCH
Marquee Sports Network · Reds.TV, Gray Media, WXIX FOX19
STARTERS
Chase Petty (R)
CIN · 2 GS · small sample
ERA
5.90
WHIP
1.22
K/9
1.69
BB/9
2.53
IP
10.7
Edward Cabrera (R)
CHC · 11 GS
ERA
4.99
WHIP
1.42
K/9
8.27
BB/9
3.28
IP
57.7
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CIN · 1-4 L5
L 5-6
@STL · 6/6
L 3-5
@STL · 6/7
L 2-6
@SD · 6/8
W 5-3
@SD · 6/9
L 4-5
@SD · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
CHC · 2-3 L5
W 7-6
vsOAK · 6/4
L 3-18
vsSF · 6/5
W 3-2
vsSF · 6/6
L 1-2
vsSF · 6/7
L 3-7
@COL · 6/9
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Caleb Ferguson
Oblique muscle strain
15-DAY · 43D
P
Nick Lodolo
Left index finger blister
15-DAY · 42D
P
Hunter Greene
Right elbow surgery
60-DAY · 42D
3B
Eugenio Suárez
Mild left oblique strain
10-DAY · 11D
P
Brandon Williamson
Left shoulder fatigue
15-DAY · 4D
P
Pierce Johnson
Details pending
BEREAVEMENT · 1D
P
Shelby Miller
Right Elbow UCL Injury
60-DAY · 64D
P
Jordan Wicks
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 43D
1B
Tyler Austin
Right knee surgery
60-DAY · 41D
P
Justin Steele
Left elbow injury
60-DAY · 40D
P
Hunter Harvey
Right triceps inflammation
15-DAY · 25D
P
Ethan Roberts
Right middle finger laceration
15-DAY · 21D
P
Daniel Palencia
Left oblique strain
15-DAY · 20D
P
Cade Horton
Right forearm strain
15-DAY · 16D
P
Porter Hodge
Right elbow strain
15-DAY · 10D
P
Caleb Thielbar
Left hamstring strain
15-DAY · 10D
P
Riley Martin
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 10D
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Must be 21+. Market prices sourced from prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi), not traditional sportsbooks.