Red Sox at Tigers — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Monday, May 4, 2026
Red Sox
27-39
FINAL
5–4
Tigers
27-40
FINAL · BOT 9TH
✓BOS
5DET
4LAST PITAroldis Chapman13P
LAST BATHao-Yu LeeR
FINAL PLAY · Hao-Yu Lee flies out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu in foul territory.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
BOS
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
DET
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $6,477,397 combined volume · UPDATED 37D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 37D AGO
The model sees Boston at 43.0% against the market's 36.2% pricing, creating a theoretical edge on paper. However, Detroit holds advantages in both run differential and starting pitching with Skubal's 2.70 ERA against Tolle's 3.37. We're standing down on what projects as a coin flip despite the mispricing.
RESULT: WIN·BOS 5-4 DET
VENUE
Comerica Park
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
75°F · Clear
SW 16mph · 1% precip
WATCH
Detroit SportsNet · NESN
STARTERS
Payton Tolle (L)
BOS · 9 GS
ERA
2.70
WHIP
1.05
K/9
9.11
BB/9
2.36
IP
53.3
Tyler Holton (L)
DET · 2 GS · small sample
ERA
4.39
WHIP
1.50
K/9
7.85
BB/9
2.51
IP
28.7
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BOS · 1-4 L5
W 5-3
@NYY · 6/5
L 1-6
@NYY · 6/7
L 1-3
@TB · 6/8
L 3-4
@TB · 6/9
L 5-7
@TB · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
DET · 3-2 L5
W 7-3
vsSEA · 6/5
L 0-4
vsSEA · 6/6
W 5-4
vsSEA · 6/7
W 10-4
vsMIN · 6/9
L 4-6
vsMIN · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Tanner Houck
Details pending
60-DAY · 83D
1B
Romy Gonzalez
Left shoulder surgery
60-DAY · 53D
P
Kutter Crawford
Right wrist surgery
15-DAY · 43D
P
Johan Oviedo
Right elbow strain
15-DAY · 20D
P
Sonny Gray
Right hamstring strain
15-DAY · 13D
1B
Triston Casas
Recovery from left patellar tendon repair
10-DAY · 12D
P
Garrett Crochet
Left shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 8D
P
Danny Coulombe
Cervical spasms
15-DAY · 2D
P
Patrick Sandoval
Left UCL surgery recovery
60-DAY · 0D
P
Reese Olson
Right Shoulder Labral Repair
60-DAY · 83D
P
Jackson Jobe
Recovering from Tommy John surgery
60-DAY · 83D
P
Troy Melton
Details pending
60-DAY · 55D
SS
Trey Sweeney
Right shoulder strain
10-DAY · 43D
P
Beau Brieske
Left adductor strain
60-DAY · 42D
P
Justin Verlander
Left hip inflammation
15-DAY · 33D
CF
Parker Meadows
Left radius fracture
10-DAY · 21D
2B
Zach McKinstry
Left hip/abdominal inflammation
10-DAY · 18D
P
Bailey Horn
Left elbow arthroscopy recovery
60-DAY · 12D
P
Connor Seabold
Left ankle inflammation
15-DAY · 8D
P
Casey Mize
Right adductor strain
15-DAY · 5D
SS
Javier Báez
Right ankle sprain
10-DAY · 5D
P
Tarik Skubal
Loose bodies in left elbow
15-DAY · 3D
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Must be 21+. Market prices sourced from prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi), not traditional sportsbooks.