Rangers at Astros — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Saturday, May 16, 2026
Rangers
35-38
FINAL
1–4
Astros
34-41
FINAL · TOP 9TH
TEX
1✓HOU
4LAST PITBryan Abreu24P
LAST BATEzequiel DuranR
FINAL PLAY · Ezequiel Duran grounds into a force out, shortstop Braden Shewmake to second baseman Nick Allen. Andrew McCutchen out at 2nd.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
TEX
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
HOU
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $2,304,211 combined volume · UPDATED 33D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 34D AGO
Market has HOU at 42.0¢ with a +4.8% edge on paper, but the model only projects them to win 47% of the time. Value without conviction — no play.
RESULT: WIN·HOU 4-1 TEX
VENUE
Daikin Park
ROOF
Retractable
WEATHER
81°F · Clear
SE 12mph · 1% precip
WATCH
Space City Home Network · Rangers Sports Network
STARTERS
Jacob deGrom (R)
TEX · 14 GS
ERA
3.17
WHIP
0.99
K/9
10.45
BB/9
1.76
IP
76.7
Kai-Wei Teng (R)
HOU · 8 GS
ERA
4.31
WHIP
1.34
K/9
9.61
BB/9
4.31
IP
54.3
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
TEX · 1-4 L5
L 1-10
@BOS · 6/12
L 3-6
@BOS · 6/13
W 6-4
@BOS · 6/14
L 2-4
vsMIN · 6/15
L 2-12
vsMIN · 6/16
OLDEST → LATEST
HOU · 3-2 L5
W 8-7
@KC · 6/13
L 0-4
@KC · 6/14
L 3-9
vsDET · 6/15
W 4-2
vsDET · 6/16
W 4-2
vsDET · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Jordan Montgomery
Recovering from Tommy John surgery
60-DAY · 69D
3B
Cody Freeman
Lumbar stress reaction
10-DAY · 55D
P
Carter Baumler
Right intercostal strain
15-DAY · 41D
P
Chris Martin
Right shoulder impingement
15-DAY · 31D
P
Cody Bradford
Left elbow surgery rehab
60-DAY · 31D
P
Luis Curvelo
Right biceps strain
15-DAY · 31D
P
Robert Garcia
Left shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 26D
LF
Wyatt Langford
Right forearm strain
10-DAY · 24D
2B
Josh Smith
Right glute strain
10-DAY · 12D
P
Nate Pearson
Right elbow surgery recovery
15-DAY · 52D
P
Brandon Walter
Left elbow surgery recovery
60-DAY · 52D
P
Hayden Wesneski
Recovery from right elbow surgery
15-DAY · 47D
CF
Jake Meyers
Grade two right oblique strain
10-DAY · 37D
P
Ronel Blanco
Right elbow surgery recovery
15-DAY · 36D
SS
Jeremy Peña
Grade one hamstring strain
10-DAY · 34D
P
Josh Hader
Left biceps tendinitis
15-DAY · 29D
LF
Joey Loperfido
Right quad strain
10-DAY · 28D
P
Cristian Javier
Grade two right shoulder strain
15-DAY · 26D
CF
Taylor Trammell
Left groin strain
10-DAY · 25D
C
Yainer Diaz
Left oblique strain
10-DAY · 11D
SS
Carlos Correa
Left ankle tendon injury
10-DAY · 11D
P
Bennett Sousa
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 10D
P
Hunter Brown
Right shoulder strain
15-DAY · 7D
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