Padres at Mariners — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Sunday, May 17, 2026
Padres
38-35
FINAL
8–3
Mariners
38-37
FINAL · BOT 9TH
✓SD
8SEA
3LAST PITBradgley Rodriguez28P
LAST BATMitch GarverR
FINAL PLAY · Mitch Garver strikes out swinging.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
SD
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
SEA
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $8,797,591 combined volume · UPDATED 32D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 33D AGO
Both teams enter with similar run differentials around break-even, with San Diego averaging 4.2 runs per game against Seattle's 3.6. We're standing down until San Diego announces their probable starter, as the pitching matchup will be crucial in determining value against Kirby's 2.84 ERA.
RESULT: WIN·SD 8-3 SEA
VENUE
T-Mobile Park
ROOF
Retractable
WEATHER
59°F · Clear
NW 6mph
WATCH
NBCSN / Peacock
STARTERS
Lucas Giolito (R)
SD · 5 GS
ERA
4.56
WHIP
1.79
K/9
5.61
BB/9
7.36
IP
25.7
George Kirby (R)
SEA · 15 GS
ERA
4.10
WHIP
1.31
K/9
7.90
BB/9
2.10
IP
90.0
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SD · 3-2 L5
W 9-3
@BAL · 6/13
W 5-2
@BAL · 6/14
L 0-3
@STL · 6/15
L 2-3
@STL · 6/16
W 6-1
@STL · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
SEA · 2-3 L5
W 10-2
@WSH · 6/12
L 3-8
@WSH · 6/13
L 1-10
@WSH · 6/14
W 3-1
vsBAL · 6/16
L 3-5
vsBAL · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Jhony Brito
Right elbow surgery, UCL reconstruction
60-DAY · 90D
P
Yu Darvish
Details pending
RESTRICTED · 53D
P
Nick Pivetta
Right elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 34D
P
Bryan Hoeing
Torn right elbow flexor tendon
15-DAY · 25D
P
Germán Márquez
Forearm nerve inflammation
15-DAY · 15D
2B
Jake Cronenworth
Concussion symptoms
7-DAY · 12D
C
Luis Campusano
Left toe fracture
10-DAY · 10D
P
Joe Musgrove
Details pending
15-DAY · 10D
P
Matt Waldron
Right brachialis muscle injury
15-DAY · 2D
P
Logan Evans
Recovery from torn UCL in right arm
60-DAY · 90D
P
Carlos Vargas
Right lat strain
15-DAY · 54D
RF
Victor Robles
Right pec strain
10-DAY · 40D
1B
Patrick Wisdom
Left oblique strain
10-DAY · 32D
3B
Miles Mastrobuoni
Right calf strain
60-DAY · 27D
3B
Will Wilson
Left thumb fracture
10-DAY · 17D
P
Matt Brash
Right lat inflammation
15-DAY · 17D
P
Gabe Speier
Left shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 14D
C
Cal Raleigh
Right oblique strain
10-DAY · 3D
3B
Brendan Donovan
Left groin muscle strain
10-DAY · 1D
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