Padres at Mariners — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Friday, May 15, 2026
Padres
37-33
FINAL
2–0
Mariners
37-36
FINAL · BOT 9TH
✓SD
2SEA
0LAST PITMason Miller34P
LAST BATBrendan DonovanL
FINAL PLAY · Brendan Donovan strikes out swinging.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
SD
87¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI80¢
SEA
14¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI20¢
DISPERSION 20¢ · venues diverge — potential edge · $2,850,738 combined volume · UPDATED 30D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 30D AGO
Market looks well-priced on this one — no edge to take (model SD lean only +1.8%).
RESULT: WIN·SD 2-0 SEA
VENUE
T-Mobile Park
ROOF
Retractable
WEATHER
50°F · Overcast
S 12mph · 38% precip
WATCH
Mariners.TV, KING 5 · Padres.TV
STARTERS
Randy Vásquez (R)
SD · 14 GS
ERA
3.63
WHIP
1.32
K/9
7.02
BB/9
2.66
IP
74.3
Emerson Hancock (R)
SEA · 14 GS
ERA
3.28
WHIP
1.02
K/9
8.47
BB/9
1.92
IP
79.7
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SD · 3-2 L5
L 3-5
vsCIN · 6/9
W 5-4
vsCIN · 6/10
L 3-7
@BAL · 6/12
W 9-3
@BAL · 6/13
W 5-2
@BAL · 6/14
OLDEST → LATEST
SEA · 1-4 L5
L 2-7
@BAL · 6/10
L 5-7
@BAL · 6/11
W 10-2
@WSH · 6/12
L 3-8
@WSH · 6/13
L 1-10
@WSH · 6/14
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Jhony Brito
Right elbow surgery, UCL reconstruction
60-DAY · 88D
P
Yu Darvish
Details pending
RESTRICTED · 51D
P
Nick Pivetta
Right elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 32D
P
Bryan Hoeing
Torn right elbow flexor tendon
15-DAY · 23D
P
Germán Márquez
Forearm nerve inflammation
15-DAY · 13D
2B
Jake Cronenworth
Concussion symptoms
7-DAY · 10D
C
Luis Campusano
Left toe fracture
10-DAY · 8D
P
Joe Musgrove
Details pending
15-DAY · 8D
P
Matt Waldron
Right brachialis muscle injury
15-DAY · 0D
P
Logan Evans
Recovery from torn UCL in right arm
60-DAY · 88D
P
Carlos Vargas
Right lat strain
15-DAY · 52D
RF
Victor Robles
Right pec strain
10-DAY · 38D
1B
Patrick Wisdom
Left oblique strain
10-DAY · 30D
3B
Miles Mastrobuoni
Right calf strain
60-DAY · 25D
3B
Will Wilson
Left thumb fracture
10-DAY · 15D
P
Matt Brash
Right lat inflammation
15-DAY · 15D
P
Gabe Speier
Left shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 12D
C
Cal Raleigh
Right oblique strain
10-DAY · 1D
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