Padres at Giants — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Monday, May 4, 2026
Padres
35-32
FINAL
2–3
Giants
28-40
FINAL · TOP 9TH
SD
2✓SF
3LAST PITCaleb Kilian18P
LAST BATManny MachadoR
FINAL PLAY · Manny Machado strikes out swinging.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
SD
4¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI6¢
SF
97¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI94¢
DISPERSION 6¢ · venues diverge — potential edge · $2,925,779 combined volume · UPDATED 36D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 37D AGO
Both teams enter with similar run prevention profiles, as San Francisco allows 4.1 runs per game compared to San Diego's 4.5. The Padres hold an offensive edge at 4.4 runs scored versus the Giants' 3.1, but we're waiting on San Francisco's starter announcement before weighing this matchup properly.
RESULT: WIN·SF 3-2 SD
VENUE
Oracle Park
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
59°F · Overcast
W 9mph · 6% precip
WATCH
NBCS BA · Padres.TV
STARTERS
Randy Vásquez (R)
SD · 13 GS
ERA
3.63
WHIP
1.30
K/9
6.88
BB/9
2.60
IP
69.3
Trevor McDonald (R)
SF · 7 GS
ERA
4.15
WHIP
1.18
K/9
8.54
BB/9
2.77
IP
39.0
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SD · 3-2 L5
W 3-2
vsNYM · 6/6
L 3-7
vsNYM · 6/7
W 6-2
vsCIN · 6/8
L 3-5
vsCIN · 6/9
W 5-4
vsCIN · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
SF · 2-3 L5
L 2-3
@CHC · 6/6
W 2-1
@CHC · 6/7
L 3-4
vsWSH · 6/8
L 3-6
vsWSH · 6/9
W 11-10
vsWSH · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Jhony Brito
Right elbow surgery, UCL reconstruction
60-DAY · 77D
P
Joe Musgrove
Right elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 40D
P
Yu Darvish
Details pending
RESTRICTED · 40D
P
Yuki Matsui
Left groin strain
15-DAY · 40D
3B
Will Wagner
Right oblique strain
10-DAY · 40D
P
Nick Pivetta
Right elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 21D
P
Bryan Hoeing
Torn right elbow flexor tendon
15-DAY · 12D
P
Germán Márquez
Forearm nerve inflammation
15-DAY · 2D
P
Jason Foley
Recovery from right shoulder surgery
60-DAY · 80D
P
Rowan Wick
Recovery from Tommy John surgery
60-DAY · 78D
P
Hayden Birdsong
Tommy John surgery
60-DAY · 44D
P
Joel Peguero
Left hamstring strain
15-DAY · 43D
P
Sam Hentges
Right knee and left shoulder surgery
15-DAY · 43D
P
Reiver Sanmartin
Right hip flexor strain
60-DAY · 40D
CF
Harrison Bader
Left hamstring strain
10-DAY · 22D
C
Daniel Susac
Right elbow ulnar neuritis/
10-DAY · 14D
P
José Buttó
Right arm fatigue
15-DAY · 13D
CF
Jared Oliva
Left wrist hamate fracture
10-DAY · 5D
P
Erik Miller
Low back strain
15-DAY · 3D
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