Orioles at Rays — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Wednesday, May 20, 2026
Orioles
32-35
FINAL
3–5
Rays
40-25
FINAL · TOP 9TH
BAL
3✓TB
5LAST PITIan Seymour9P
LAST BATAdley RutschmanR
FINAL PLAY · Adley Rutschman grounds out, third baseman Oliver Dunn to first baseman Ryan Vilade.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
BAL
1¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI1¢
TB
100¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI100¢
DISPERSION 100¢ · venues diverge — potential edge · $6,871,349 combined volume · UPDATED 21D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 21D AGO
TB50.7¢4.11U · CONFIDENT
EDGE+7.4%
Confident lean on TB at 50.7¢ — +7.4% edge, driven by the run differential.
RESULT: WIN·TB 5-3 BAL
VENUE
Tropicana Field
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
90°F · Clear
E 5mph
WATCH
Rays.TV · MASN
STARTERS
Shane Baz (R)
BAL · 13 GS
ERA
4.09
WHIP
1.38
K/9
7.71
BB/9
3.51
IP
77.0
Steven Matz (L)
TB · 10 GS
ERA
5.55
WHIP
1.34
K/9
7.09
BB/9
3.64
IP
47.0
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BAL · 1-4 L5
L 4-6
@TOR · 6/6
L 4-6
@TOR · 6/7
L 3-6
vsSEA · 6/8
L 5-6
vsSEA · 6/9
W 7-2
vsSEA · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
TB · 3-2 L5
L 3-4
@MIA · 6/6
L 1-4
@MIA · 6/7
W 3-1
vsBOS · 6/8
W 4-3
vsBOS · 6/9
W 7-5
vsBOS · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Colin Selby
Right shoulder inflammation
60-DAY · 95D
LF
Heston Kjerstad
Right hamstring strain
10-DAY · 59D
3B
Jordan Westburg
Right elbow UCL sprain
10-DAY · 49D
P
Zach Eflin
Right elbow discomfort
15-DAY · 43D
P
Yaramil Hiraldo
Right shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 37D
1B
Ryan Mountcastle
Left foot fracture
60-DAY · 37D
P
Dean Kremer
Right quad strain
15-DAY · 30D
P
Ryan Helsley
Right elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 21D
P
Cade Povich
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 12D
P
Grant Wolfram
Low back strain
15-DAY · 11D
RF
Dylan Beavers
Right oblique strain
10-DAY · 9D
P
Manuel Rodríguez
Details pending
60-DAY · 99D
LF
Gavin Lux
Right shoulder impingement
10-DAY · 58D
P
Steven Wilson
Lumbar disc inflammation
60-DAY · 56D
P
Drew Rasmussen
Details pending
PATERNITY · 42D
P
Ryan Pepiot
Right hip inflammation
15-DAY · 36D
P
Michael Grove
Right shoulder surgery
15-DAY · 30D
P
Edwin Uceta
Right shoulder impingement
60-DAY · 26D
P
Cole Sulser
Low back strain
15-DAY · 5D
RF
Jake Fraley
Hernia
10-DAY · 4D
2B
Ben Williamson
Low back strain
10-DAY · 3D
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