Orioles at Nationals — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Sunday, May 17, 2026
Orioles
35-38
FINAL
7–3
Nationals
39-36
FINAL · BOT 9TH
✓BAL
7WSH
3LAST PITRico Garcia18P
LAST BATCJ AbramsL
FINAL PLAY · CJ Abrams pops out to first baseman Pete Alonso.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
BAL
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
WSH
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $2,137,352 combined volume · UPDATED 32D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 33D AGO
The model sees Washington at 49.2% against the market's 46.0%, creating a small edge on paper. However, both teams project near coin-flip territory with similar run differentials, and we don't back outright losers even at favorable prices. Standing down on this one.
RESULT: LOSS·WSH 3-7 BAL
VENUE
Nationals Park
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
85°F · Mainly Clear
W 7mph · 9% precip
WATCH
Nationals.TV · MASN
STARTERS
Brandon Young (R)
BAL · 11 GS
ERA
3.18
WHIP
1.25
K/9
6.35
BB/9
3.32
IP
62.3
Richard Lovelady (L)
WSH · 5 GS
ERA
2.83
WHIP
1.81
K/9
7.53
BB/9
6.28
IP
28.7
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BAL · 2-3 L5
W 7-3
vsSD · 6/12
L 3-9
vsSD · 6/13
L 2-5
vsSD · 6/14
L 1-3
@SEA · 6/16
W 5-3
@SEA · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
WSH · 4-1 L5
W 8-3
vsSEA · 6/13
W 10-1
vsSEA · 6/14
W 7-3
vsKC · 6/15
W 6-4
vsKC · 6/16
L 2-6
vsKC · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Colin Selby
Right shoulder inflammation
60-DAY · 92D
2B
Jackson Holliday
Right hamate surgery
10-DAY · 56D
LF
Heston Kjerstad
Right hamstring strain
10-DAY · 56D
3B
Jordan Westburg
Right elbow UCL sprain
10-DAY · 46D
P
Zach Eflin
Right elbow discomfort
15-DAY · 40D
1B
Ryan Mountcastle
Left foot fracture
60-DAY · 34D
P
Yaramil Hiraldo
Right shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 34D
P
Dean Kremer
Right quad strain
15-DAY · 27D
P
Ryan Helsley
Right elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 18D
P
Cade Povich
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 9D
P
Grant Wolfram
Low back strain
15-DAY · 8D
RF
Dylan Beavers
Right oblique strain
10-DAY · 6D
P
Trevor Williams
Details pending
60-DAY · 96D
P
DJ Herz
Details pending
60-DAY · 95D
P
Josiah Gray
Right flexor strain
60-DAY · 55D
P
Cole Henry
Right rotator cuff strain
15-DAY · 34D
P
Ken Waldichuk
Left forearm tightness
15-DAY · 31D
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