Orioles at Nationals — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Friday, May 15, 2026
Orioles
34-37
FINAL
2–3
Nationals
37-35
FINAL · TOP 9TH
BAL
2✓WSH
3LAST PITRichard Lovelady11P
LAST BATAdley RutschmanR
FINAL PLAY · Adley Rutschman strikes out swinging.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
BAL
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
WSH
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $1,736,751 combined volume · UPDATED 30D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 30D AGO
Market has WSH at 44.0¢ with a +6.8% edge on paper, but the model only projects them to win 51% of the time. Value without conviction — no play.
RESULT: WIN·WSH 3-2 BAL
VENUE
Nationals Park
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
72°F · Clear
NW 8mph
WATCH
Nationals.TV, Fox 5 WTTG, Gray Media · MASN
STARTERS
Shane Baz (R)
BAL · 14 GS
ERA
4.06
WHIP
1.39
K/9
7.35
BB/9
3.51
IP
82.0
Zack Littell (R)
WSH · 10 GS
ERA
5.32
WHIP
1.35
K/9
5.32
BB/9
2.86
IP
66.0
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BAL · 3-2 L5
W 7-2
vsSEA · 6/10
W 7-5
vsSEA · 6/11
W 7-3
vsSD · 6/12
L 3-9
vsSD · 6/13
L 2-5
vsSD · 6/14
OLDEST → LATEST
WSH · 3-2 L5
W 6-3
@SF · 6/9
L 10-11
@SF · 6/10
L 2-10
vsSEA · 6/12
W 8-3
vsSEA · 6/13
W 10-1
vsSEA · 6/14
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Colin Selby
Right shoulder inflammation
60-DAY · 90D
2B
Jackson Holliday
Right hamate surgery
10-DAY · 54D
LF
Heston Kjerstad
Right hamstring strain
10-DAY · 54D
3B
Jordan Westburg
Right elbow UCL sprain
10-DAY · 44D
P
Zach Eflin
Right elbow discomfort
15-DAY · 38D
1B
Ryan Mountcastle
Left foot fracture
60-DAY · 32D
P
Yaramil Hiraldo
Right shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 32D
P
Dean Kremer
Right quad strain
15-DAY · 25D
P
Ryan Helsley
Right elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 16D
P
Cade Povich
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 7D
P
Grant Wolfram
Low back strain
15-DAY · 6D
RF
Dylan Beavers
Right oblique strain
10-DAY · 4D
P
Trevor Williams
Details pending
60-DAY · 94D
P
DJ Herz
Details pending
60-DAY · 93D
P
Josiah Gray
Right flexor strain
60-DAY · 53D
P
Cole Henry
Right rotator cuff strain
15-DAY · 32D
P
Ken Waldichuk
Left forearm tightness
15-DAY · 29D
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