Nationals at Guardians — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
Nationals
35-34
FINAL
2–3
Guardians
37-33
FINAL · TOP 9TH
WSH
2✓CLE
3LAST PITCade Smith23P
LAST BATJorbit VivasL
FINAL PLAY · Jorbit Vivas called out on strikes.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
WSH
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
CLE
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $4,497,254 combined volume · UPDATED 14D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 14D AGO
Market has WSH at 38.0¢ with a +6.5% edge on paper, but the model only projects them to win 44% of the time. Value without conviction — no play.
RESULT: LOSS·WSH 2-3 CLE
VENUE
Progressive Field
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
73°F · Overcast
NW 6mph · 3% precip
WATCH
Guardians.TV · Nationals.TV
STARTERS
PJ Poulin (L)
WSH · 7 GS
ERA
3.28
WHIP
1.46
K/9
6.20
BB/9
5.84
IP
24.7
Gavin Williams (R)
CLE · 14 GS
ERA
3.32
WHIP
1.10
K/9
10.28
BB/9
2.91
IP
86.7
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
WSH · 3-2 L5
W 6-1
@ARI · 6/6
L 1-5
@ARI · 6/7
W 4-3
@SF · 6/8
W 6-3
@SF · 6/9
L 10-11
@SF · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
CLE · 1-4 L5
W 6-0
@TEX · 6/6
L 0-10
@TEX · 6/7
L 5-7
vsNYY · 6/8
L 2-3
vsNYY · 6/9
L 4-8
vsNYY · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Trevor Williams
Details pending
60-DAY · 106D
P
DJ Herz
Details pending
60-DAY · 105D
P
Josiah Gray
Right flexor strain
60-DAY · 65D
P
Cole Henry
Right rotator cuff strain
15-DAY · 44D
P
Ken Waldichuk
Left forearm tightness
15-DAY · 41D
P
Jake Irvin
Right shoulder strain
15-DAY · 3D
P
Max Kranick
Right elbow surgery recovery
15-DAY · 2D
SS
Gabriel Arias
Left hamdsring strain
10-DAY · 50D
P
Erik Sabrowski
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 5D
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