Marlins at Rays — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Sunday, May 17, 2026
Marlins
37-38
FINAL
3–6
Rays
41-30
FINAL · TOP 9TH
MIA
3✓TB
6LAST PITBryan Baker10P
LAST BATOtto LopezR
FINAL PLAY · Otto Lopez pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
MIA
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
TB
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $6,582,141 combined volume · UPDATED 32D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 33D AGO
The market has this matchup priced appropriately with both teams projecting close to their implied probabilities. Miami and Tampa Bay enter with nearly identical run differentials, as the Marlins' balanced 4.4 runs scored and allowed per game matches up evenly against the Rays' slight edge at 4.8 R/G and 4.3 RA/G.
RESULT: LOSS·MIA 3-6 TB
VENUE
Tropicana Field
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
90°F · Mainly Clear
E 10mph · 5% precip
WATCH
NBCSN / Peacock
STARTERS
Eury Pérez (R)
MIA · 12 GS
ERA
4.60
WHIP
1.26
K/9
10.34
BB/9
4.02
IP
62.7
Drew Rasmussen (R)
TB · 14 GS
ERA
2.59
WHIP
0.88
K/9
9.45
BB/9
1.46
IP
80.0
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
MIA · 2-3 L5
L 2-3
@PIT · 6/13
W 4-2
@PIT · 6/14
L 0-7
@PHI · 6/15
L 2-8
@PHI · 6/16
W 12-4
@PHI · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
TB · 1-4 L5
L 0-8
@LAA · 6/13
W 8-3
@LAA · 6/14
L 3-4
@LAD · 6/15
L 0-1
@LAD · 6/16
L 4-5
@LAD · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Ronny Henriquez
Right Elbow Surgery
60-DAY · 94D
P
Adam Mazur
Right elbow surgery
60-DAY · 53D
LF
Griffin Conine
Left hamstring strain
10-DAY · 37D
LHP
Robby Snelling
Left elbow UCL sprain
15-DAY · 4D
2B
Leo Jiménez
Concussion
7-DAY · 1D
P
Manuel Rodríguez
Details pending
60-DAY · 96D
LF
Gavin Lux
Right shoulder impingement
10-DAY · 55D
P
Steven Wilson
Lumbar disc inflammation
60-DAY · 53D
P
Drew Rasmussen
Details pending
PATERNITY · 39D
P
Joe Boyle
Right elbow strain
15-DAY · 37D
P
Ryan Pepiot
Right hip inflammation
15-DAY · 33D
P
Michael Grove
Right shoulder surgery
15-DAY · 27D
P
Edwin Uceta
Right shoulder impingement
60-DAY · 23D
P
Steven Matz
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 13D
RF
Jake Fraley
Hernia
10-DAY · 1D
RECENT HEADLINES
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