Marlins at Rays — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Saturday, May 16, 2026
Marlins
37-38
FINAL
10–5
Rays
41-30
FINAL · BOT 10TH
✓MIA
10TB
5LAST PITLake Bachar27P
LAST BATJonny DeLucaR
FINAL PLAY · Jonny DeLuca flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
MIA
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
TB
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $7,302,068 combined volume · UPDATED 33D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 34D AGO
Market looks well-priced on this one — no edge to take (model TB lean only +2.1%).
RESULT: LOSS·TB 5-10 MIA
VENUE
Tropicana Field
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
92°F · Overcast
S 12mph · 5% precip
WATCH
Rays.TV · Marlins.TV
STARTERS
Sandy Alcantara (R)
MIA · 16 GS
ERA
4.18
WHIP
1.24
K/9
6.71
BB/9
2.09
IP
103.3
Nick Martinez (R)
TB · 14 GS
ERA
2.60
WHIP
1.16
K/9
5.42
BB/9
1.52
IP
83.0
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
MIA · 2-3 L5
L 2-3
@PIT · 6/13
W 4-2
@PIT · 6/14
L 0-7
@PHI · 6/15
L 2-8
@PHI · 6/16
W 12-4
@PHI · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
TB · 1-4 L5
L 0-8
@LAA · 6/13
W 8-3
@LAA · 6/14
L 3-4
@LAD · 6/15
L 0-1
@LAD · 6/16
L 4-5
@LAD · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Ronny Henriquez
Right Elbow Surgery
60-DAY · 93D
P
Adam Mazur
Right elbow surgery
60-DAY · 52D
LF
Griffin Conine
Left hamstring strain
10-DAY · 36D
LHP
Robby Snelling
Left elbow UCL sprain
15-DAY · 3D
2B
Leo Jiménez
Concussion
7-DAY · 0D
P
Manuel Rodríguez
Details pending
60-DAY · 95D
LF
Gavin Lux
Right shoulder impingement
10-DAY · 54D
P
Steven Wilson
Lumbar disc inflammation
60-DAY · 52D
P
Drew Rasmussen
Details pending
PATERNITY · 38D
P
Joe Boyle
Right elbow strain
15-DAY · 36D
P
Ryan Pepiot
Right hip inflammation
15-DAY · 32D
P
Michael Grove
Right shoulder surgery
15-DAY · 26D
P
Edwin Uceta
Right shoulder impingement
60-DAY · 22D
P
Steven Matz
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 12D
RECENT HEADLINES
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