Marlins at Rays — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Friday, May 15, 2026
Marlins
36-36
FINAL
2–7
Rays
41-27
FINAL · TOP 9TH
MIA
2✓TB
7LAST PITCasey Legumina19P
LAST BATOwen CaissieL
FINAL PLAY · Owen Caissie flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
MIA
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
TB
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $1,936,823 combined volume · UPDATED 30D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 30D AGO
Market looks well-priced on this one — no edge to take (model TB lean only +0.5%).
RESULT: WIN·TB 7-2 MIA
VENUE
Tropicana Field
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
85°F · Clear
NW 12mph
WATCH
Rays.TV · Marlins.TV
STARTERS
Janson Junk (R)
MIA · 11 GS
ERA
4.80
WHIP
1.30
K/9
6.45
BB/9
1.95
IP
60.0
Ian Seymour (L)
TB · 2 GS · small sample
ERA
4.93
WHIP
1.28
K/9
9.63
BB/9
4.46
IP
38.3
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
MIA · 4-1 L5
W 8-0
vsARI · 6/10
W 2-0
vsARI · 6/11
W 8-3
@PIT · 6/12
L 2-3
@PIT · 6/13
W 4-2
@PIT · 6/14
OLDEST → LATEST
TB · 3-2 L5
W 4-3
vsBOS · 6/9
W 7-5
vsBOS · 6/10
L 3-4
@LAA · 6/12
L 0-8
@LAA · 6/13
W 8-3
@LAA · 6/14
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Ronny Henriquez
Right Elbow Surgery
60-DAY · 92D
P
Adam Mazur
Right elbow surgery
60-DAY · 51D
LF
Griffin Conine
Left hamstring strain
10-DAY · 35D
LHP
Robby Snelling
Left elbow UCL sprain
15-DAY · 2D
P
Manuel Rodríguez
Details pending
60-DAY · 94D
LF
Gavin Lux
Right shoulder impingement
10-DAY · 53D
P
Steven Wilson
Lumbar disc inflammation
60-DAY · 51D
P
Drew Rasmussen
Details pending
PATERNITY · 37D
P
Joe Boyle
Right elbow strain
15-DAY · 35D
P
Ryan Pepiot
Right hip inflammation
15-DAY · 31D
P
Michael Grove
Right shoulder surgery
15-DAY · 25D
P
Edwin Uceta
Right shoulder impingement
60-DAY · 21D
P
Steven Matz
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 11D
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