Mariners at Royals — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Saturday, May 23, 2026
Mariners
36-33
FINAL
0–5
Royals
28-40
FINAL · TOP 9TH
SEA
0✓KC
5LAST PITStephen Kolek108P
LAST BATJulio RodríguezR
FINAL PLAY · Julio Rodríguez flies out sharply to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
SEA
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
KC
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $4,375,196 combined volume · UPDATED 18D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 18D AGO
Market has KC at 44.0¢ with a +7.3% edge on paper, but the model only projects them to win 51% of the time. Value without conviction — no play.
RESULT: WIN·KC 5-0 SEA
VENUE
Kauffman Stadium
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
79°F · Overcast
NW 8mph
WATCH
FS1 · Royals.TV · Mariners.TV
STARTERS
George Kirby (R)
SEA · 13 GS
ERA
4.04
WHIP
1.28
K/9
7.38
BB/9
2.08
IP
78.0
Stephen Kolek (R)
KC · 7 GS
ERA
3.14
WHIP
1.07
K/9
6.28
BB/9
1.88
IP
43.0
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SEA · 3-2 L5
W 4-0
@DET · 6/6
L 4-5
@DET · 6/7
W 6-3
@BAL · 6/8
W 6-5
@BAL · 6/9
L 2-7
@BAL · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
KC · 3-2 L5
L 3-5
@MIN · 6/5
W 3-2
@MIN · 6/6
W 6-5
@MIN · 6/7
W 5-3
vsTEX · 6/9
L 4-6
vsTEX · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Logan Evans
Recovery from torn UCL in right arm
60-DAY · 96D
P
Carlos Vargas
Right lat strain
15-DAY · 60D
3B
Miles Mastrobuoni
Right calf strain
60-DAY · 33D
3B
Will Wilson
Left thumb fracture
10-DAY · 23D
P
Gabe Speier
Left shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 20D
C
Cal Raleigh
Right oblique strain
10-DAY · 9D
3B
Brendan Donovan
Left groin muscle strain
10-DAY · 7D
P
Alec Marsh
Right shoulder impingement
60-DAY · 100D
P
Carlos Estévez
Left foot contusion
15-DAY · 55D
2B
Jonathan India
Left shoulder subluxation
10-DAY · 34D
P
James McArthur
Right elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 34D
P
Cole Ragans
Left elbow impingement
15-DAY · 16D
P
Kris Bubic
Left elbow soreness
15-DAY · 8D
P
Matt Strahm
Right knee inflammation
15-DAY · 7D
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