Guardians at Royals — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Monday, May 4, 2026
Guardians
39-34
FINAL
2–6
Royals
29-45
FINAL · TOP 9TH
CLE
2✓KC
6LAST PITAlex Lange9P
LAST BATTravis BazzanaL
FINAL PLAY · Travis Bazzana grounds out softly, pitcher Alex Lange to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
CLE
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
KC
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $2,278,197 combined volume · UPDATED 43D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 43D AGO
Market looks well-priced on this one — no edge to take (model CLE lean only +1.7%).
RESULT: LOSS·CLE 2-6 KC
VENUE
Kauffman Stadium
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
82°F · Partly Cloudy
W 8mph · 1% precip
WATCH
Royals.TV · Guardians.TV
STARTERS
Tanner Bibee (R)
CLE · 15 GS
ERA
3.96
WHIP
1.18
K/9
7.61
BB/9
2.79
IP
84.0
Michael Wacha (R)
KC · 14 GS
ERA
3.58
WHIP
1.16
K/9
7.06
BB/9
2.76
IP
88.0
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CLE · 2-3 L5
L 2-3
vsNYY · 6/9
L 4-8
vsNYY · 6/10
W 3-2
vsDET · 6/12
W 3-1
vsDET · 6/13
L 1-2
@MIL · 6/16
OLDEST → LATEST
KC · 1-4 L5
L 8-10
vsHOU · 6/12
L 7-8
vsHOU · 6/13
W 4-0
vsHOU · 6/14
L 3-7
@WSH · 6/15
L 4-6
@WSH · 6/16
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Andrew Walters
Recovery from 2025 Right Lat Surgery
15-DAY · 43D
SS
Gabriel Arias
Left hamdsring strain
10-DAY · 27D
P
Shawn Armstrong
Right groin strain
15-DAY · 11D
P
Alec Marsh
Right shoulder impingement
60-DAY · 81D
P
Stephen Kolek
Left oblique strain
15-DAY · 43D
P
Carlos Estévez
Left foot contusion
15-DAY · 36D
P
Bailey Falter
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 32D
2B
Jonathan India
Left shoulder subluxation
10-DAY · 15D
P
James McArthur
Right elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 15D
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