Guardians at Royals — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Monday, May 4, 2026
Guardians
37-33
FINAL
2–6
Royals
28-40
FINAL · TOP 9TH
CLE
2✓KC
6LAST PITAlex Lange9P
LAST BATTravis BazzanaL
FINAL PLAY · Travis Bazzana grounds out softly, pitcher Alex Lange to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
CLE
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
KC
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $2,278,197 combined volume · UPDATED 37D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 37D AGO
Market looks well-priced on this one — no edge to take (model CLE lean only +1.7%).
RESULT: LOSS·CLE 2-6 KC
VENUE
Kauffman Stadium
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
82°F · Partly Cloudy
W 8mph · 1% precip
WATCH
Royals.TV · Guardians.TV
STARTERS
Tanner Bibee (R)
CLE · 14 GS
ERA
4.09
WHIP
1.23
K/9
7.36
BB/9
2.81
IP
77.0
Michael Wacha (R)
KC · 13 GS
ERA
3.44
WHIP
1.14
K/9
7.44
BB/9
2.89
IP
81.0
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CLE · 1-4 L5
W 6-0
@TEX · 6/6
L 0-10
@TEX · 6/7
L 5-7
vsNYY · 6/8
L 2-3
vsNYY · 6/9
L 4-8
vsNYY · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
KC · 3-2 L5
L 3-5
@MIN · 6/5
W 3-2
@MIN · 6/6
W 6-5
@MIN · 6/7
W 5-3
vsTEX · 6/9
L 4-6
vsTEX · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Andrew Walters
Recovery from 2025 Right Lat Surgery
15-DAY · 43D
SS
Gabriel Arias
Left hamdsring strain
10-DAY · 27D
P
Shawn Armstrong
Right groin strain
15-DAY · 11D
P
Alec Marsh
Right shoulder impingement
60-DAY · 81D
P
Stephen Kolek
Left oblique strain
15-DAY · 43D
P
Carlos Estévez
Left foot contusion
15-DAY · 36D
P
Bailey Falter
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 32D
2B
Jonathan India
Left shoulder subluxation
10-DAY · 15D
P
James McArthur
Right elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 15D
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