Dodgers at Astros — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Monday, May 4, 2026
Dodgers
43-25
FINAL
8–3
Astros
30-38
FINAL · BOT 9TH
✓LAD
8HOU
3LAST PITJack Dreyer15P
LAST BATZach ColeL
FINAL PLAY · Zach Cole strikes out swinging.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
LAD
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
HOU
0¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $3,039,244 combined volume · UPDATED 37D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 37D AGO
The model sees Houston at 44.3% against the market's 36.0% price, creating an edge on paper. However, the Dodgers project as the outright winner with their superior run differential of +1.82 compared to Houston's -0.85, backed by elite pitching that allows just 3.4 runs per game. We're standing down on what amounts to a coin flip despite the mispricing.
RESULT: LOSS·HOU 3-8 LAD
VENUE
Daikin Park
ROOF
Retractable
WEATHER
73°F · Clear
S 10mph
WATCH
Space City Home Network · SportsNet LA
STARTERS
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)
LAD · 12 GS
ERA
2.68
WHIP
0.92
K/9
8.50
BB/9
1.75
IP
77.3
Steven Okert (L)
HOU · 1 GS · small sample
ERA
3.00
WHIP
0.93
K/9
7.80
BB/9
3.00
IP
30.0
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
LAD · 3-2 L5
W 1-0
vsLAA · 6/5
W 9-2
vsLAA · 6/6
L 5-13
vsLAA · 6/7
W 12-3
@PIT · 6/9
L 8-9
@PIT · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
HOU · 3-2 L5
W 5-1
vsOAK · 6/5
W 13-2
vsOAK · 6/6
L 0-5
vsOAK · 6/7
W 5-4
@LAA · 6/8
L 1-10
@LAA · 6/9
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Evan Phillips
Right forearm discomfort
60-DAY · 81D
1B
Enrique Hernández
Recovery from left elbow surgery
60-DAY · 72D
P
Blake Snell
Left shoulder fatigue
15-DAY · 43D
2B
Tommy Edman
Recovery from right ankle surgery
10-DAY · 43D
P
Brock Stewart
Recovery from right shoulder surgery
15-DAY · 43D
P
Brusdar Graterol
Recovery from right shoulder surgery
15-DAY · 43D
P
Bobby Miller
Right shoulder soreness
60-DAY · 43D
P
Landon Knack
Details pending
15-DAY · 43D
P
Gavin Stone
Right shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 33D
P
Jake Cousins
Details pending
15-DAY · 33D
SS
Mookie Betts
Right oblique strain
10-DAY · 29D
P
Ben Casparius
Right shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 21D
P
Edwin Díaz
Right elbow loose bodies
15-DAY · 14D
P
Nate Pearson
Right elbow surgery recovery
15-DAY · 40D
P
Brandon Walter
Left elbow surgery recovery
60-DAY · 40D
P
Hayden Wesneski
Recovery from right elbow surgery
15-DAY · 35D
P
Hunter Brown
Right shoulder strain
15-DAY · 32D
CF
Jake Meyers
Grade two right oblique strain
10-DAY · 25D
P
Ronel Blanco
Right elbow surgery recovery
15-DAY · 24D
P
Tatsuya Imai
Right arm fatigue
15-DAY · 22D
SS
Jeremy Peña
Grade one hamstring strain
10-DAY · 22D
P
Josh Hader
Left biceps tendinitis
15-DAY · 17D
LF
Joey Loperfido
Right quad strain
10-DAY · 16D
SS
Nick Allen
Mid-back spasms
10-DAY · 15D
P
Cristian Javier
Grade two right shoulder strain
15-DAY · 14D
CF
Taylor Trammell
Left groin strain
10-DAY · 13D
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