Cubs at Pirates — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Monday, May 25, 2026
Cubs
33-33
FINAL
1–2
Pirates
35-33
FINAL · TOP 9TH
CHC
1✓PIT
2LAST PITGregory Soto14P
LAST BATCarson KellyR
FINAL PLAY · Carson Kelly grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
CHC
54¢
POLY54¢
KALSHI54¢
PIT
46¢
POLY46¢
KALSHI46¢
DISPERSION 0¢ · venues aligned · $598,629 combined volume · UPDATED 16D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 16D AGO
Market looks well-priced on this one — no edge to take (model PIT lean only +2.1%).
RESULT: WIN·PIT 2-1 CHC
VENUE
PNC Park
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
75°F · Overcast
N 5mph
WATCH
SportsNet Pittsburgh · Marquee Sports Network
STARTERS
Ben Brown (R)
CHC · 6 GS
ERA
1.74
WHIP
0.88
K/9
9.16
BB/9
2.53
IP
57.0
Carmen Mlodzinski (R)
PIT · 9 GS
ERA
3.66
WHIP
1.39
K/9
7.47
BB/9
3.05
IP
59.0
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CHC · 2-3 L5
W 7-6
vsOAK · 6/4
L 3-18
vsSF · 6/5
W 3-2
vsSF · 6/6
L 1-2
vsSF · 6/7
L 3-7
@COL · 6/9
OLDEST → LATEST
PIT · 1-4 L5
L 3-6
@ATL · 6/5
L 3-6
@ATL · 6/6
L 2-3
@ATL · 6/7
L 3-12
vsLAD · 6/9
W 9-8
vsLAD · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Shelby Miller
Right Elbow UCL Injury
60-DAY · 85D
1B
Tyler Austin
Right knee surgery
60-DAY · 62D
P
Justin Steele
Left elbow injury
60-DAY · 61D
P
Daniel Palencia
Left oblique strain
15-DAY · 41D
P
Cade Horton
Right forearm strain
15-DAY · 37D
P
Porter Hodge
Right elbow strain
15-DAY · 31D
P
Riley Martin
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 31D
P
Matthew Boyd
Left meniscus injury
15-DAY · 21D
P
Hunter Harvey
Right triceps inflammation
15-DAY · 8D
RF
Matt Shaw
Mid-back tightness
10-DAY · 5D
P
Edward Cabrera
Right middle-finger blister
15-DAY · 4D
P
Jared Jones
Details pending
60-DAY · 103D
P
Chris Devenski
Undisclosed illness
15-DAY · 18D
RF
Ryan O'Hearn
Right quad muscle strain
10-DAY · 8D
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