Brewers at Twins — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Saturday, May 16, 2026
Brewers
45-26
FINAL
2–1
Twins
35-40
FINAL · BOT 9TH
✓MIL
2MIN
1LAST PITChad Patrick52P
LAST BATTristan GrayL
FINAL PLAY · Tristan Gray lines out to shortstop Joey Ortiz.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
MIL
100¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI100¢
MIN
1¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI1¢
DISPERSION 1¢ · venues aligned · $2,922,319 combined volume · UPDATED 33D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 34D AGO
Market has MIN at 46.0¢ with a +4.5% edge on paper, but the model only projects them to win 50% of the time. Value without conviction — no play.
RESULT: LOSS·MIN 1-2 MIL
VENUE
Target Field
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
78°F · Clear
NW 9mph
WATCH
Twins.TV · Brewers.TV
STARTERS
Logan Henderson (R)
MIL · 5 GS
ERA
2.74
WHIP
1.04
K/9
11.74
BB/9
2.35
IP
23.0
Connor Prielipp (L)
MIN · 10 GS
ERA
5.25
WHIP
1.35
K/9
9.24
BB/9
3.62
IP
49.7
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
MIL · 4-1 L5
W 6-0
vsPHI · 6/12
L 8-9
vsPHI · 6/13
W 4-0
vsPHI · 6/14
W 2-1
vsCLE · 6/16
W 9-4
vsCLE · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
MIN · 4-1 L5
W 9-8
vsSTL · 6/12
L 6-9
vsSTL · 6/13
W 5-4
vsSTL · 6/14
W 4-2
@TEX · 6/15
W 12-2
@TEX · 6/16
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
RF
Steward Berroa
Right shoulder strain
10-DAY · 55D
P
Quinn Priester
Right thoracic outlet syndrome
15-DAY · 55D
LF
Akil Baddoo
Left quad strain
60-DAY · 53D
P
Jared Koenig
Left elbow sprain
15-DAY · 41D
P
Rob Zastryzny
Left shoulder strain
60-DAY · 32D
P
Angel Zerpa
Left forearm tightness
15-DAY · 20D
P
Brandon Woodruff
Right shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 15D
LF
Brandon Lockridge
Right knee laceration and contusion
10-DAY · 7D
P
Pablo López
Tommy John surgery
60-DAY · 79D
P
David Festa
Right shoulder impingement
15-DAY · 44D
P
Cody Laweryson
Right forearm strain
15-DAY · 37D
P
Mick Abel
Right elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 29D
P
Garrett Acton
Right shoulder strain
15-DAY · 20D
P
Cole Sands
Right forearm strain
15-DAY · 17D
P
Taj Bradley
Right pectoralis muscle inflammation
15-DAY · 10D
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