Braves at Mariners — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Monday, May 4, 2026
Braves
45-23
FINAL
4–5
Mariners
36-33
FINAL · TOP 9TH
ATL
4✓SEA
5LAST PITAndrés Muñoz14P
LAST BATDrake BaldwinL
FINAL PLAY · Drake Baldwin grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
ATL
12¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI14¢
SEA
91¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI86¢
DISPERSION 14¢ · venues diverge — potential edge · $4,688,740 combined volume · UPDATED 36D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 37D AGO
ATL43.9¢4.65U · CONFIDENT
EDGE+9.5%
Atlanta brings a significant offensive edge at 5.7 runs per game compared to Seattle's 4.2, while also holding the better run prevention unit at 3.5 runs allowed versus the Mariners' 4.0. The Braves' superior run differential of +2.24 per game dwarfs Seattle's +0.15, and they get the pitching matchup advantage with JR Ritchie's 2.92 ERA facing Logan Gilbert's 4.03.
RESULT: LOSS·ATL 4-5 SEA
-4.65u
VENUE
T-Mobile Park
ROOF
Retractable
WEATHER
76°F · Clear
W 6mph · 1% precip
WATCH
Mariners.TV · BravesVision
STARTERS
JR Ritchie (R)
ATL · 5 GS
ERA
4.56
WHIP
1.44
K/9
7.36
BB/9
5.61
IP
25.7
Logan Gilbert (R)
SEA · 14 GS
ERA
3.61
WHIP
1.08
K/9
9.26
BB/9
2.15
IP
79.7
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ATL · 3-2 L5
W 6-3
vsPIT · 6/5
W 6-3
vsPIT · 6/6
W 3-2
vsPIT · 6/7
L 5-6
@CWS · 6/9
L 1-2
@CWS · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
SEA · 3-2 L5
W 4-0
@DET · 6/6
L 4-5
@DET · 6/7
W 6-3
@BAL · 6/8
W 6-5
@BAL · 6/9
L 2-7
@BAL · 6/10
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Spencer Schwellenbach
Details pending
60-DAY · 83D
P
Joe Jiménez
Details pending
60-DAY · 83D
P
Joey Wentz
Right knee ACL tear
60-DAY · 41D
SS
Ha-Seong Kim
Right middle finger laceration
10-DAY · 40D
P
Hurston Waldrep
Right elbow surgery
15-DAY · 40D
P
AJ Smith-Shawver
Right elbow reconstruction
15-DAY · 31D
P
Danny Young
Left elbow reconstruction
15-DAY · 23D
P
Raisel Iglesias
Right shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 14D
P
Dylan Dodd
Left thoracic spine inflammation
15-DAY · 12D
RF
Ronald Acuña Jr.
on the 10-day injured list. Left hamstring strain
10-DAY · 1D
P
Logan Evans
Recovery from torn UCL in right arm
60-DAY · 77D
P
Bryce Miller
Left oblique strain
15-DAY · 43D
P
Carlos Vargas
Right lat strain
15-DAY · 41D
RF
Victor Robles
Right pec strain
10-DAY · 27D
1B
Patrick Wisdom
Left oblique strain
10-DAY · 19D
3B
Brendan Donovan
Left groin muscle strain
10-DAY · 16D
3B
Miles Mastrobuoni
Right calf strain
60-DAY · 14D
P
Matt Brash
Right lat inflammation
15-DAY · 4D
3B
Will Wilson
Left thumb fracture
10-DAY · 4D
P
Gabe Speier
Left shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 1D
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