Astros at Twins — MLB Odds, Starters, Weather · Tuesday, May 19, 2026
Astros
34-41
FINAL
2–1
Twins
35-40
FINAL · BOT 9TH
✓HOU
2MIN
1LAST PITBryan Abreu9P
LAST BATByron BuxtonR
FINAL PLAY · Byron Buxton pops out to third baseman Isaac Paredes in foul territory.
MONEYLINE · IMPLIED PROBABILITY
HOU
99¢
POLY0¢
KALSHI100¢
MIN
1¢
POLY100¢
KALSHI1¢
DISPERSION 100¢ · venues diverge — potential edge · $953,257 combined volume · UPDATED 30D AGO
OUR TAKE · SPORTSSLATEAI MODEL
GENERATED 31D AGO
Market looks well-priced on this one — no edge to take (model MIN lean only +2.5%).
RESULT: LOSS·MIN 1-2 HOU
VENUE
Target Field
ROOF
Open
WEATHER
51°F · Overcast
NW 9mph
WATCH
Twins.TV · Space City Home Network
STARTERS
Jason Alexander (R)
HOU · 2 GS · small sample
ERA
9.33
WHIP
1.58
K/9
6.87
BB/9
3.93
IP
18.3
Zebby Matthews (R)
MIN · 7 GS
ERA
4.78
WHIP
1.18
K/9
7.06
BB/9
1.87
IP
43.3
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
HOU · 3-2 L5
W 8-7
@KC · 6/13
L 0-4
@KC · 6/14
L 3-9
vsDET · 6/15
W 4-2
vsDET · 6/16
W 4-2
vsDET · 6/17
OLDEST → LATEST
MIN · 4-1 L5
W 9-8
vsSTL · 6/12
L 6-9
vsSTL · 6/13
W 5-4
vsSTL · 6/14
W 4-2
@TEX · 6/15
W 12-2
@TEX · 6/16
OLDEST → LATEST
INJURIES
P
Brandon Walter
Left elbow surgery recovery
60-DAY · 55D
P
Hayden Wesneski
Recovery from right elbow surgery
15-DAY · 50D
P
Ronel Blanco
Right elbow surgery recovery
15-DAY · 39D
P
Josh Hader
Left biceps tendinitis
15-DAY · 32D
LF
Joey Loperfido
Right quad strain
10-DAY · 31D
P
Cristian Javier
Grade two right shoulder strain
15-DAY · 29D
CF
Taylor Trammell
Left groin strain
10-DAY · 28D
SS
Carlos Correa
Left ankle tendon injury
10-DAY · 14D
C
Yainer Diaz
Left oblique strain
10-DAY · 14D
P
Bennett Sousa
Left elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 13D
P
Hunter Brown
Right shoulder strain
15-DAY · 10D
P
Lance McCullers Jr.
on the 15-day injured list retroactive to May 16, 2026. Right shoulder inflammation
15-DAY · 3D
2B
Jose Altuve
Left oblique strain
10-DAY · 2D
P
Pablo López
Tommy John surgery
60-DAY · 82D
P
David Festa
Right shoulder impingement
15-DAY · 47D
P
Cody Laweryson
Right forearm strain
15-DAY · 40D
P
Mick Abel
Right elbow inflammation
15-DAY · 32D
P
Cole Sands
Right forearm strain
15-DAY · 20D
P
Taj Bradley
Right pectoralis muscle inflammation
15-DAY · 13D
P
Garrett Acton
Right shoulder strain
15-DAY · 0D
C
Ryan Jeffers
Left hamate bone fracture
10-DAY · 0D
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